Saturday, February 1, 2020

FEBRUARY 2020 STOCK WATCH LIST


Well, January was quite the volatile month in stock prices.   The Coronavirus scare over the past couple of weeks has given Wall Street a case of the flu.   Quite a big drop over the past few days.

A search for a solid dividend growth company at a good value had been quite the challenge over the past half year or so.   Finding a good one has been harder to find than a bunny dove.....



...oh, you can just buy one for $269....

Here's what I see are two that I will consider buying over the next few weeks.   I have a large list of stocks that I have been eyeing that you can see here, but I really like to narrow them down to one or two before I decide to go shopping.  From that current list, I revisit my screener and see what stands out.

Here's what I want to see:
- P/E under 20
- PEG ratio under 2
- Dividend growth of over 10% over the past 5 years
- A dividend yield over 2%
- Dividend payout under 65%

MORGAN STANLEY (MS)

With a drop of about $5 from it's recent high, it looks like a chance to get in at a good price.
This multinational investment bank and financial services company has more going for it than name recognition.

At the time of this writing, MS is selling at $52.26 per share.  Here's how it stack up to my screener

- P/E at 10.37 - PASS!
- PEG ratio at 1.27 - PASS!
- Dividend growth of 28.47% over 5 years - PASS!
- Dividend yield of 2.68% - PASS
- Dividend payout ratio of 26.97% - PASS

5 for 5 for my screener.  Winner winner chicken dinner.

AO SMITH (AOS)

These guys make hot water tanks, boilers, and water treatment products for both home and commercial.   Who does not need a hot water tank or on demand system?

As of right now, AOS is selling at $42.69. They are off 10.8% over the past year.  Here's how they rate in my screener

- P/E of 19.48 - PASS (just barely)
- PEG ratio at 2.44 - FAIL
- Dividend growth of 26.19% over 5 years - PASS
- Dividend yield of 2.25% - PASS
- Dividend payout ratio of 43.24%

4 of 5 for my screener.  I'll give it a pass of the PEG at this time since we usually see companies with larger growth rates usually have a higher PEG, giving it an appearance of being overvalued.  But being under 2.5 is great.

I will stop here.  There are a couple others I am looking at (like Kroger (KR), and Lockheed Martin (LMT), and T. Rowe Price (TROW), but I am more interested in AOS and MS at this time.

DISCLAIMER:  I have no position in either of these companies.  That may change in the next few weeks, but this article is in no way a professional recommendation to purchase these shares, or any others.  
Dig?

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